The Tripartite Memorandum of Understanding moves the Conflict to Another Place

The Tripartite Memorandum of Understanding moves the Conflict to Another Place

| Thursday 16 June 2022


Omar Rassi - Akhbar Al Yawm

The trilateral memorandum of understanding signed on Wednesday regarding the export of Israeli gas via Egypt to European Union countries could be a key detail in the ongoing dispute in the eastern Mediterranean.

As for Lebanon, the Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon took place under pressure from Hezbollah at the time (before the year 2000) following intensive military operations carried out by the party, which prompted the former Prime Minister Israeli Ehud Barak to consider that staying in the occupied strip was expensive, so it was an option of withdrawal.

Over time, the direction of the conflict has changed and Hezbollah has stuck to its guns under the title of recovering the remaining occupied territories, mainly the Chebaa Farms. But when the oil dossier came up, the main purpose of the weapon changed and a new title was needed to protect the oil wealth.

From this introduction, the conflict was obvious between Lebanon and Israel, which usurped land and oil, but what problems did yesterday's agreement create?

According to economist professor Jassem Ajjaka, the trilateral memorandum of understanding transferred the conflict, after it was between Lebanon and Israel, it became between Lebanon and Europe. The drop that we have seen by official Lebanon (from line 29 to line 23) is perhaps the result of this data.

He says: we know that Europe, following the Russian-Ukrainian war, realized that it had made a serious mistake by relying on a single gas supplier, Russia. Today, she has started to research and work on diversification, which has highlighted Europe's interest in the Middle East, in particular the eastern basin of the Mediterranean Sea and its riches in Europe.

He adds: with this Agreement, gas has taken on a new strategic dimension, and it has entered into the social and economic security of European countries, and therefore Lebanon to a certain extent no longer has many options, given that the only international supporters of it are European countries so far. The conflict is no longer between Lebanon and the Israeli enemy, but has turned into a confrontation between Lebanon and European countries, and the problem has therefore been transferred elsewhere.

It seems that there are "those who cleverly planned to sign a deal" that Israel produces and sends to Egypt, which converts it into liquefied gas and ships it to Europe, which benefits from it.

He concludes: this measure does not compensate for Russian gas because its quantity (coming from Egypt and Israel) cannot exceed 10% of European needs, but it constitutes an additional source in addition to imports from Qatar and the US.

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